Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macarthur v Newcastle Jets — Team-Based Signals
Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Macarthur 3-2 Newcastle Jets — Actual Match Statistics
Macarthur nicked a narrow win over Newcastle Jets 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 21% / 39% — and on the day Macarthur made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
On the day, Macarthur had 47% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 53%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.25 to 1.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Macarthur and 2.17 for Newcastle Jets.
What was the final score of Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets?
Macarthur 3-2 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 02/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets?
Before kick-off our model rated a Macarthur win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Macarthur 40%, draw 21%, Newcastle Jets 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macarthur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.