Excelsior vs PSV II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Excelsior v PSV II — Team-Based Signals
Excelsior vs PSV II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Excelsior 5-0 PSV II — Actual Match Statistics
Excelsior swept aside PSV II 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.
On the day, Excelsior had 50% of the ball to PSV II's 50%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 1.67 to 0.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Excelsior and 1.17 for PSV II.
What was the final score of Excelsior vs PSV II?
Excelsior 5-0 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Excelsior vs PSV II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 63%, draw 20%, PSV II 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.