Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 2 May 2026

Eintracht Frankfurt
1-2 HT 0-0
Hamburg
📅02/05/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.62
6+ Goals
12%
6.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
20%
4.49
X/2
6%
9.7
X/X
13%
6.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.35
2/2
10%
6.77
2/X
5%
14.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.35 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.4pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
2.01/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.68
+6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.9 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Hamburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.44 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
290 Passes 308
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
20.12.2025 Hamburg Hamburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
05.05.2018 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-0 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL1
12.12.2017 Hamburg Hamburg 1-2 HT 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
18.03.2017 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL1
21.10.2016 Hamburg Hamburg 0-3 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
19.02.2016 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL1

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Hamburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
1-2
AWAY Hamburg
0.65 xG 0.62
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
431 Passes 239
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg squeezed past Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Eintracht Frankfurt at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 64% of the ball to Hamburg's 36%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.65 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 0.33 for Hamburg.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg?

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Hamburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 56%, draw 23%, Hamburg 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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