Werder Bremen 1-3 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.69
6+ Goals
12%
7.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.56
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
5%
12.25
X/1
14%
4.98
X/2
8%
7.76
X/X
11%
5.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.8
2/2
12%
5.08
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.5pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.53/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.71
-10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 70%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
25.9 Crosses 17.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Augsburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.56 xG 0.87
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 Passes 302
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2025 Augsburg Augsburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
19.01.2025 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0-2 HT 0-2 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
24.08.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 2-2 HT 2-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
27.04.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 0-3 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
09.12.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-0 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
04.03.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen
1-3
AWAY Augsburg
1.35 xG 2.57
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
577 Passes 225
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg saw off Werder Bremen 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Werder Bremen at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Werder Bremen had 68% of the ball to Augsburg's 32%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.35 to 2.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Werder Bremen and 1.00 for Augsburg.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Augsburg?

Werder Bremen 1-3 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 50%, draw 24%, Augsburg 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Werder Bremen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Werder Bremen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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