Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayer Leverkusen v RB Leipzig — Team-Based Signals
Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
RB Leipzig
AL1
2-0
HT 1-0
RB Leipzig
AL1
Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 RB Leipzig — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen swept aside RB Leipzig 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (65%) came in.
On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 55% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 45%, shots finished 23-14, expected goals 4.42 to 1.22.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.67 for RB Leipzig.
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 45%, draw 24%, RB Leipzig 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.