Union Berlin vs Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Berlin v Köln — Team-Based Signals
Union Berlin vs Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Köln
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Köln
AL1
0-1
HT 0-1
Union Berlin
AL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Köln
AL1
Union Berlin 2-2 Köln — Actual Match Statistics
Union Berlin and Köln couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Union Berlin had 59% of the ball to Köln's 41%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.15 to 1.75.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Berlin and 0.50 for Köln.
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Köln?
Union Berlin 2-2 Köln in the Germany - Bundesliga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Köln?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 40%, draw 23%, Köln 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Berlin) went the other way.