Hoffenheim 3-3 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 2 May 2026

Hoffenheim
3-3 HT 2-1
Stuttgart
📅02/05/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.33
No
36%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.59
2-3 Goals
35%
2.13
4-5 Goals
29%
2.39
6+ Goals
16%
4.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.87
1/2
6%
23.95
1/X
7%
11.75
X/1
14%
5.74
X/2
15%
7.08
X/X
12%
6.36
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.0
2/2
13%
3.97
2/X
6%
12.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
71%
-6.8pp
36%
BTTS No
29%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hoffenheim v Stuttgart — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.74/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.26
-1% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
23.2 Crosses 18.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Stuttgart
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.86 xG 2.56
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
288 Passes 485
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2025 Stuttgart Stuttgart 0-0 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
23.02.2025 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-1 HT 0-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
06.10.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-1 HT 0-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
16.03.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 0-3 HT 0-2 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
28.10.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-3 HT 0-2 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
27.05.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-1 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1

Hoffenheim 3-3 Stuttgart — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim
3-3
AWAY Stuttgart
2.47 xG 1.57
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
276 Passes 333
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim and Stuttgart couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Hoffenheim had 46% of the ball to Stuttgart's 54%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 2.47 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hoffenheim and 1.33 for Stuttgart.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart?

Hoffenheim 3-3 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 40%, draw 26%, Stuttgart 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoffenheim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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