Uni. Catolica 2-3 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 2 May 2026

Uni. Catolica
2 - 3 HT 1 - 3
Independiente Del Valle
📅02/05/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.95
Over
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
46%
4-5
24%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
2%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Uni. Catolica v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Uni. Catolica The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle The Market 40%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.61 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
1.57 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.41
Great Attack Strength Strong
Bad Defense Strength Weak
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.20 xG 1.51
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
379 Passes 335
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.12.2025 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
09.11.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-2 HT 0-2 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica EKV1
29.06.2025 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica 0-3 HT 0-3 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
02.03.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica EKV1
28.09.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 5-2 HT 2-2 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica EKV1
14.04.2024 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 2-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1

Uni. Catolica 2-3 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
2 - 3
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.44 xG 0.47
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
382 Passes 213
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 7
REVIEW Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Independiente Del Valle shaded a tight game against Uni. Catolica 3-2 on the road. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

From a near-even 36% / 28% / 36% read, it was Independiente Del Valle who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 62% to 38% in Uni. Catolica's favour, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.44 to 0.47 — by the quality of chances, Uni. Catolica deserved more.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Uni. Catolica against 2.00 for Independiente Del Valle.

Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle Result & Final Score

Uni. Catolica 2 - 3 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Uni. Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 36%, draw 28%, Independiente Del Valle 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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