Real Salt Lake 5-1 Austin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Jun 2024

Real Salt Lake
5-1 HT 4-0
Austin
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Real Salt Lake vs Austin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
2.33
Over
45%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No Pick
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
32%
4.93
2-3
38%
1.95
4-5
21%
2.78
6+
9%
7.38
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.93 — our 32% vs market 15.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.71
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.7
X/1
14%
3.82
X/2
6%
14.55
X/X
16%
6.65
2/1
9%
21.35
2/2
11%
10.7
2/X
5%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
65%
-15.5pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.0pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
39%
+16.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
61%
-16.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.0pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Salt Lake v Austin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Austin EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.53/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.75
+2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
432 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
20.2 Crosses 16.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Real Salt Lake vs Austin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Salt Lake
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Austin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.26 xG 2.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
317 Passes 369
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.06.2023 Austin Austin 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
12.03.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-2 HT 1-2 Austin Austin ABD
16.10.2022 Austin Austin 2-2 HT 1-2 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
15.09.2022 Austin Austin 3-0 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
15.05.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-1 HT 0-1 Austin Austin ABD
02.10.2021 Austin Austin 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD

Real Salt Lake 5-1 Austin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Salt Lake
5-1
AWAY Austin
3.90 xG 1.26
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
493 Passes 282
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Salt Lake vs Austin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Salt Lake swept aside Austin 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Salt Lake as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Salt Lake had 61% of the ball to Austin's 39%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 3.90 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Salt Lake and 1.83 for Austin.

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Austin?

Real Salt Lake 5-1 Austin in the USA - Major League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs Austin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 50%, draw 27%, Austin 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Salt Lake) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Salt Lake) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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