Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Connahs Quay v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Connahs Quay 1-2 Caernarfon Town — Actual Match Statistics
Caernarfon Town edged past Connahs Quay 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, shots finished 9-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Connahs Quay and 1.83 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town?
Connahs Quay 1-2 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 43%, draw 28%, Caernarfon Town 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Connahs Quay) went the other way.