Connahs Quay 1-2 Caernarfon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
26%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.30/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.49
-13% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Caernarfon Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.03.2026 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-4 HT 1-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
06.02.2026 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-1 HT 1-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
13.01.2026 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
23.09.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-2 HT 0-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
03.12.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-1 HT 1-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
28.09.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Connahs Quay
1-2
AWAY Caernarfon Town
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caernarfon Town edged past Connahs Quay 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Connahs Quay and 1.83 for Caernarfon Town.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town?

Connahs Quay 1-2 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 43%, draw 28%, Caernarfon Town 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Connahs Quay) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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