Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Connahs Quay v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Connahs Quay 1-1 Caernarfon Town — Actual Match Statistics
Connahs Quay and Caernarfon Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Connahs Quay had 48% of the ball to Caernarfon Town's 52%, shots finished 13-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Connahs Quay and 2.00 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town?
Connahs Quay 1-1 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 06/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 51%, draw 24%, Caernarfon Town 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5 went the other way.