Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caernarfon Town v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals
Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Connahs Quay saw off Caernarfon Town 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Caernarfon Town and 1.50 for Connahs Quay.
What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay?
Caernarfon Town 2-4 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay?
Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 31%, draw 19%, Connahs Quay 50%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.