NK Varazdin 2-1 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-6.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.21/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.98
-20% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +55%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
18.8 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Varazdin
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 1.22
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
311 Passes 368
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2026 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 3-1 HT 2-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
28.02.2026 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-1 HT 1-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
29.11.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-1 HT 0-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
13.09.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-0 HT 2-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
18.04.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-1 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
08.02.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 1-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Varazdin
2-1
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.90 xG 1.16
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
292 Passes 380
17 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH NK Varazdin vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Varazdin nicked a narrow win over Hajduk Split 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hajduk Split at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.90 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NK Varazdin and 1.17 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Hajduk Split?

NK Varazdin 2-1 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 26%, draw 30%, Hajduk Split 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hajduk Split), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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