Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hajduk Split v NK Varazdin — Team-Based Signals
Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hajduk Split 3-1 NK Varazdin — Actual Match Statistics
Hajduk Split got the better of NK Varazdin 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Hajduk Split had 50% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 50%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.73 to 1.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Varazdin led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hajduk Split and 1.00 for NK Varazdin.
What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
Hajduk Split 3-1 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 65%, draw 20%, NK Varazdin 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split) — while BTTS No went the other way.