Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-3 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
3.67
6+ Goals
11%
16.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.1pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.21/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.00
+0% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
20.7 Crosses 18.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Rijeka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.88 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 Passes 253
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2026 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
30.11.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
13.09.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
06.04.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
26.01.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 4-1 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
18.10.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
0-3
AWAY Rijeka
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka cruised past Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 47% of the ball to Rijeka's 53%, shots finished 3-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.83 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-3 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 31%, draw 26%, Rijeka 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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