Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 46%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -20%
1.23/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.02
-18% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.0 Crosses 19.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rijeka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.94 xG 1.48
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
276 Passes 271
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
06.04.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
26.01.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 4-1 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
18.10.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
04.08.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 4-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
28.04.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 HT 2-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1-1
AWAY Rijeka
1.43 xG 0.80
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
401 Passes 188
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb and Rijeka shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 63% of the ball to Rijeka's 37%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.43 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 2.17 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 36%, draw 26%, Rijeka 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rijeka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →