Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.37
6+ Goals
12%
23.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -16%
1.36/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.02
+40% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.6 Crosses 18.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rijeka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.78 xG 1.64
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
287 Passes 232
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 4-1 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
18.10.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
04.08.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 4-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
28.04.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 HT 2-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
03.04.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
17.02.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 4-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
0-1
AWAY Rijeka
0.75 xG 1.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
278 Passes 269
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka squeezed past Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 52% of the ball to Rijeka's 48%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.75 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 2.67 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 29%, draw 29%, Rijeka 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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