Rijeka 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
60%
-0.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.48/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.60
+13% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
20.6 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.72 xG 0.97
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
243 Passes 275
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
26.01.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 4-1 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
18.10.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
04.08.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 4-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
28.04.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 HT 2-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
03.04.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
1-1
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
0.76 xG 0.84
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
357 Passes 281
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka and Lokomotiva Zagreb couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Rijeka carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rijeka had 54% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 46%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.76 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rijeka and 1.00 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Rijeka 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 59%, draw 20%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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