NK Varazdin 2-0 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.3
6+ Goals
7%
22.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 53%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.52/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.16
+9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
19.0 Crosses 18.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Varazdin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 0.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
332 Passes 304
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-1 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
08.02.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 1-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
03.11.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-0 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
18.08.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 0-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
05.05.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
27.02.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 5-0 HT 2-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Varazdin
2-0
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.81 xG 0.69
26% Ball Possession 74%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
122 Passes 526
59% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 41
9 Crosses 33
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH NK Varazdin vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Varazdin beat Hajduk Split 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hajduk Split at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, NK Varazdin had 26% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 74%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.81 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for NK Varazdin and 1.50 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Hajduk Split?

NK Varazdin 2-0 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 22%, draw 29%, Hajduk Split 49%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hajduk Split) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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