Rijeka 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.60/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.48
+16% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.1 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.35 xG 1.03
49% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
255 Passes 301
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
13.09.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
06.04.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
26.01.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 4-1 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
18.10.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
04.08.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 4-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
2-0
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
0.71 xG 0.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
231 Passes 362
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka beat Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Rijeka had 41% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 59%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.71 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rijeka and 0.83 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Rijeka 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 55%, draw 23%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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