Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.6pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.3pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.04/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.84
+8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Tobol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
23.05.2026 Tobol Tobol 0-3 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
04.10.2025 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 0-2 HT 0-2 Tobol Tobol KAZKK
24.09.2025 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
17.08.2025 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-3 HT 0-3 Tobol Tobol KAZP
19.10.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
12.05.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Tobol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent saw off Tobol 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.17 for Tobol.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Tobol?

Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Super League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 60%, draw 24%, Tobol 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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