Monagas 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.00/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.02
-19% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
16.7 Crosses 18.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.98 xG 1.43
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 Passes 336
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2026 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
01.11.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 0-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
26.10.2025 Monagas Monagas 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
08.07.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 HT 2-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
25.01.2025 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
18.11.2024 Monagas Monagas 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
1-2
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.25 xG 0.54
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
217 Passes 472
16 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira edged past Monagas 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.25 to 0.54 — on chances, Monagas could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Monagas and 1.67 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Monagas 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Monagas 30%, draw 28%, Deportivo La Guaira 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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