Sturm Graz 0-1 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
40%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.33
Over
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.9
2-3
39%
1.94
4-5
21%
2.79
6+
14%
7.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.34
1/2
5%
20.55
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
10%
9.35
X/2
15%
4.3
X/X
13%
5.98
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.17
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+9.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
40%
Away Win
53%
-13.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 57%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 81%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.6 Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
0-1
AWAY Club Brugge
0.40 xG 0.68
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 Passes 585
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge nicked a narrow win over Sturm Graz 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Club Brugge made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 38% of the ball to Club Brugge's 62%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.40 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Club Brugge?

Sturm Graz 0-1 Club Brugge in the Champions League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 32%, draw 27%, Club Brugge 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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