Alianza 0-1 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.46/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.92
+15% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aguila
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
20.09.2025 Aguila Aguila 1-2 HT 0-2 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
14.04.2025 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
16.02.2025 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
11.11.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
12.09.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
31.03.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila edged past Alianza 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alianza and 1.17 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Aguila?

Alianza 0-1 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alianza 43%, draw 25%, Aguila 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
2 Nov 2025
00:00 Zacatecoluca vs Municipal Limeno Analysis →
00:00 Cacahuatique vs Hércules Analysis →
00:15 Fuerte San Francisco vs Platense Analysis →
04:00 Luis Angel Firpo vs Isidro Metapan Analysis →
04:00 Inter FA vs FAS Analysis →