Aguila 1-2 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.33
Draw
41%
2.88
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.82
No
39%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
39%
-15.7pp
41%
Draw
31%
+10.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
51%
+9.7pp
39%
BTTS No
49%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 33%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.66/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.86
+46% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alianza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
14.04.2025 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
16.02.2025 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
11.11.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
12.09.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
31.03.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
22.01.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza nicked a narrow win over Aguila 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aguila and 0.67 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Alianza?

Aguila 1-2 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aguila 23%, draw 41%, Alianza 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →