El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Paso Locomotive v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
El Paso Locomotive 0-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising edged past El Paso Locomotive 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was El Paso Locomotive at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 51% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 49%, shots finished 3-12, expected goals 0.11 to 1.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Phoenix Rising's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 2.17 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
El Paso Locomotive 0-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 42%, draw 25%, Phoenix Rising 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.