Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Phoenix Rising v El Paso Locomotive — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
5-0
HT 2-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
Phoenix Rising 3-3 El Paso Locomotive — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising and El Paso Locomotive couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Phoenix Rising had 38% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 62%, shots finished 4-22, expected goals 1.45 to 1.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1.33 for El Paso Locomotive.
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive?
Phoenix Rising 3-3 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive?
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 40%, draw 25%, El Paso Locomotive 36%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Phoenix Rising) went the other way.