North Carolina vs Loudoun United Prediction — Model Probabilities
North Carolina v Loudoun United — Team-Based Signals
North Carolina vs Loudoun United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
North Carolina 1-0 Loudoun United — Actual Match Statistics
North Carolina came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Loudoun United 1-0.
Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; North Carolina found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, Loudoun United saw more of the ball, 72% to 28%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.75 to 1.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Loudoun United.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loudoun United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for North Carolina against 1.33 for Loudoun United.
North Carolina vs Loudoun United Result & Final Score
North Carolina 1 - 0 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
North Carolina vs Loudoun United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 36%, draw 28%, Loudoun United 36%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.