North Carolina 1-0 Loudoun United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Carolina EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.85/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.24
-24% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
13.2 Crosses 14.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North Carolina
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Loudoun United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.61 xG 1.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 Passes 372
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-1 HT 0-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
27.07.2025 North Carolina North Carolina 1-1 HT 0-1 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLKP
16.03.2025 North Carolina North Carolina 1-2 HT 1-1 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
15.05.2024 North Carolina North Carolina 2-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
16.03.2024 Loudoun United Loudoun United 3-1 HT 1-1 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
06.04.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 2-1 HT 1-0 North Carolina North Carolina ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North Carolina
1-0
AWAY Loudoun United
0.75 xG 1.55
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 11
136 Passes 453
64% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 37
7 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH North Carolina vs Loudoun United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina nicked a narrow win over Loudoun United 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; North Carolina found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, North Carolina had 28% of the ball to Loudoun United's 72%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.75 to 1.55 — on chances, Loudoun United could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loudoun United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for North Carolina and 1.33 for Loudoun United.

What was the final score of North Carolina vs Loudoun United?

North Carolina 1-0 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Carolina vs Loudoun United?

Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 39%, draw 24%, Loudoun United 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North Carolina) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (North Carolina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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