Louisville City vs Detroit City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Detroit City — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Detroit City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Detroit City
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
Louisville City 0-1 Detroit City — Actual Match Statistics
Detroit City edged past Louisville City 1-0 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Louisville City at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Louisville City had 60% of the ball to Detroit City's 40%, shots finished 19-3, expected goals 0.98 to 0.36 — the balance of chances actually favoured Louisville City.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Louisville City and 0.83 for Detroit City.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Detroit City?
Louisville City 0-1 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Detroit City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 59%, draw 24%, Detroit City 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Louisville City) went the other way.