Estrela U23 0-2 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 2 Dec 2025

📅02/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
3.87
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
40%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
22%
+20.5pp
17%
Draw
23%
-6.4pp
40%
Away Win
54%
-14.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 58%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.23/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.58
-1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela U23
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Benfica U23
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.09.2025 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 4-1 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
09.04.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 2-3 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
29.01.2025 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
17.12.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 7-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
28.09.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
25.04.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-4 HT 0-2 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
0-2
AWAY Benfica U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 saw off Estrela U23 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (43% / 17% / 40%) promised a tight game; Benfica U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 46% of the ball to Benfica U23's 54%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica U23 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estrela U23 and 3.00 for Benfica U23.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Benfica U23?

Estrela U23 0-2 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 43%, draw 17%, Benfica U23 40%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estrela U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
2 Dec 2025
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