Benfica U23 vs Estrela U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica U23 v Estrela U23 — Team-Based Signals
Benfica U23 vs Estrela U23 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Benfica U23 4-1 Estrela U23 — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica U23 ran out comfortable winners over Estrela U23 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica U23 as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Benfica U23 had 61% of the ball to Estrela U23's 39%, shots finished 19-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Benfica U23 and 0.83 for Estrela U23.
What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Estrela U23?
Benfica U23 4-1 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Estrela U23?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 68%, draw 12%, Estrela U23 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.