Celta Vigo vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celta Vigo v Valencia — Team-Based Signals
Celta Vigo vs Valencia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
İS1
1-2
HT 0-1
Valencia
İS1
Celta Vigo 4-1 Valencia — Actual Match Statistics
Celta Vigo swept aside Valencia 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celta Vigo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Celta Vigo had 40% of the ball to Valencia's 60%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 2.70 to 1.94.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.33 for Valencia.
What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Valencia?
Celta Vigo 4-1 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Valencia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 50%, draw 26%, Valencia 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.