Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Osasuna v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
2-0
HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics
Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Osasuna had 49% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 51%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.67 to 1.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osasuna and 1.33 for Athletic Bilbao.
What was the final score of Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao?
Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Primera Liga on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao?
Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 37%, draw 31%, Athletic Bilbao 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Osasuna), BTTS No went the other way.