Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brisbane Roar v Wellington Phoenix — Team-Based Signals
Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Brisbane Roar 0-3 Wellington Phoenix — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix swept aside Brisbane Roar 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Brisbane Roar at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.
On the day, Brisbane Roar had 66% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix's 34%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.43 to 1.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brisbane Roar and 1.00 for Wellington Phoenix.
What was the final score of Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
Brisbane Roar 0-3 Wellington Phoenix in the Australia - A-League on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar 55%, draw 27%, Wellington Phoenix 18%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar), Under 2.5 went the other way.