Benfica vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Estoril — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Benfica
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Estoril
POR
Benfica 3-1 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica got the better of Estoril 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Benfica had 51% of the ball to Estoril's 49%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.27 to 0.63.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Benfica and 0.50 for Estoril.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Estoril?
Benfica 3-1 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Estoril?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Benfica 79%, draw 15%, Estoril 7%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.