Jablonec 2-2 Slavia Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
60%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.08
6+ Goals
16%
10.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.08 — our 25% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
25%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
27%
-9.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
60%
Away Win
48%
+11.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 52%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.24/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.21
+54% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Slavia Prag
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.22 xG 2.19
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
187 Passes 341
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 4-3 HT 2-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
16.08.2025 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
18.05.2025 Jablonec Jablonec 3-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
16.03.2025 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 3-0 HT 3-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
20.10.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 1-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
11.02.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 4-3 HT 3-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
2-2
AWAY Slavia Prag
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Slavia Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec and Slavia Prag shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Slavia Prag at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Jablonec had 54% of the ball to Slavia Prag's 46%, shots finished 15-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Prag led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Jablonec and 2.67 for Slavia Prag.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Slavia Prag?

Jablonec 2-2 Slavia Prag in the Czech Republic - Cup on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Slavia Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 18%, draw 22%, Slavia Prag 60%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Slavia Prag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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