Dundee United vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dundee United v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals
Dundee United vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Dundee United 2-1 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics
Dundee United squeezed past St. Mirren 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Dundee United found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Dundee United had 53% of the ball to St. Mirren's 47%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.69 to 1.11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dundee United and 0.83 for St. Mirren.
What was the final score of Dundee United vs St. Mirren?
Dundee United 2-1 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dundee United vs St. Mirren?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 40%, draw 26%, St. Mirren 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.