Gagra vs Saburtalo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Gagra v Saburtalo — Team-Based Signals
Gagra vs Saburtalo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Gagra 1-2 Saburtalo — Actual Match Statistics
Saburtalo squeezed past Gagra 2-1 on their travels. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.
On the day, Gagra had 40% of the ball to Saburtalo's 60%, shots finished 9-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gagra and 2.00 for Saburtalo.
Gagra vs Saburtalo Result & Final Score
Gagra 1 - 2 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Gagra vs Saburtalo Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gagra 23%, draw 27%, Saburtalo 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.