Saburtalo vs Gagra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Saburtalo v Gagra — Team-Based Signals
Saburtalo vs Gagra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Saburtalo 2-1 Gagra — Actual Match Statistics
Saburtalo came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Gagra 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (60%) came home.
Under the surface, Gagra saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 14-11.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Saburtalo against 1.33 for Gagra.
Saburtalo vs Gagra Result & Final Score
Saburtalo 2 - 1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Saburtalo vs Gagra Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 78%, draw 14%, Gagra 8%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.