Gagra 1-3 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 3 Oct 2025

Gagra
1 - 3 HT 1 - 2
Saburtalo
📅03/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.45
Away Pick
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.8
Over
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
47%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
1%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Gagra The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo The Market 57%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.84 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.86
1.38 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.08
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Average
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Saburtalo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2025 Saburtalo Saburtalo 3-1 HT 2-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
19.04.2025 Gagra Gagra 0-1 HT 0-0 Saburtalo Saburtalo GUR
01.12.2024 Gagra Gagra 1-2 HT 1-0 Saburtalo Saburtalo GUR
26.09.2024 Saburtalo Saburtalo 1-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
28.05.2024 Gagra Gagra 4-0 HT 4-0 Saburtalo Saburtalo GUR
11.04.2024 Saburtalo Saburtalo 3-1 HT 2-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
1 - 3
AWAY Saburtalo
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Gagra vs Saburtalo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Saburtalo got the better of Gagra 3-1 on their travels. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring.

Under the surface, possession split 51% to 49% in Gagra's favour, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Gagra against 1.67 for Saburtalo.

Gagra vs Saburtalo Result & Final Score

Gagra 1 - 3 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gagra vs Saburtalo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gagra 20%, draw 25%, Saburtalo 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Under 2.5
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