AZ Alkmaar II vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar II v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar II vs Helmond Sport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Helmond Sport
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
AZ Alkmaar II 2-0 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar II beat Helmond Sport 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had AZ Alkmaar II as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 48% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 52%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.60 to 1.13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 2.33 for Helmond Sport.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs Helmond Sport?
AZ Alkmaar II 2-0 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs Helmond Sport?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 47%, draw 27%, Helmond Sport 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.