Helmond Sport vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Helmond Sport v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
Helmond Sport vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Helmond Sport
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
1-3
HT 1-1
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
Helmond Sport 4-2 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
Helmond Sport saw off AZ Alkmaar II 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Helmond Sport as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Helmond Sport had 54% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 46%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 2.54 to 1.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.67 for AZ Alkmaar II.
What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Helmond Sport 4-2 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 49%, draw 23%, AZ Alkmaar II 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helmond Sport), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.