Ajax II 2-2 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 17 Oct 2025

Ajax II
2-2 HT 0-1
PSV II
📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Ajax II vs PSV II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.33
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.96
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.33
No
33%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
6.9
2-3 Goals
37%
2.18
4-5 Goals
29%
2.35
6+ Goals
18%
4.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.39
1/2
9%
20.9
1/X
9%
12.4
X/1
15%
6.38
X/2
10%
6.27
X/X
7%
6.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.2
2/2
15%
3.3
2/X
4%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
39%
+7.3pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.8pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.3pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.3pp
67%
BTTS Yes
71%
-4.7pp
33%
BTTS No
29%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajax II v PSV II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.47/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.47
+0% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
12.2 Crosses 13.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

Ajax II vs PSV II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
3W-3D-0L
AWAY PSV II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.25 xG 1.66
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
368 Passes 399
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.01.2025 Ajax II Ajax II 4-0 HT 2-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
12.08.2024 PSV II PSV II 2-2 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
15.03.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 3-0 HT 2-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
15.12.2023 PSV II PSV II 2-2 HT 1-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
17.04.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 5-4 HT 3-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
15.12.2022 PSV II PSV II 2-2 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2

Ajax II 2-2 PSV II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
2-2
AWAY PSV II
2.05 xG 2.02
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 20
9 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 5
378 Passes 305
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
38 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax II and PSV II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ajax II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ajax II had 55% of the ball to PSV II's 45%, shots finished 21-20, expected goals 2.05 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax II had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Ajax II and 1.67 for PSV II.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs PSV II?

Ajax II 2-2 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 46%, draw 21%, PSV II 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajax II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajax II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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