Roda 6-0 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
14%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.48
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
13%
4.72
X/2
9%
7.89
X/X
10%
5.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.65
2/2
14%
5.41
2/X
7%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.65 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.53/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.48
-19% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.8 Crosses 16.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.09 xG 0.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
412 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.02.2025 Roda Roda 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
02.11.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-1 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
19.01.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-0 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
22.09.2023 Roda Roda 4-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
21.04.2023 Roda Roda 0-1 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
19.08.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-3 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
6-0
AWAY Den Bosch
2.64 xG 0.89
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
419 Passes 271
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
39 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Roda vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roda ran out comfortable winners over Den Bosch 6-0. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roda as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Roda had 59% of the ball to Den Bosch's 41%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.64 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Roda and 0.50 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Roda vs Den Bosch?

Roda 6-0 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Roda 47%, draw 24%, Den Bosch 29%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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