Almere City 1-1 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 17 Oct 2025

Almere City
1-1 HT 0-0
Cambuur
📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Almere City vs Cambuur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.64
6+ Goals
13%
6.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.52
1/2
7%
23.55
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
13%
6.05
X/2
17%
6.03
X/X
9%
5.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.55
2/2
19%
3.51
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.9pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.8pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almere City v Cambuur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almere City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.63/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.32
+6% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
19.8 Crosses 18.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Almere City vs Cambuur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Cambuur
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.86 xG 1.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
242 Passes 312
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.02.2021 Almere City Almere City 0-2 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
15.11.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 7-2 HT 4-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
14.02.2020 Almere City Almere City 0-1 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
17.11.2019 Cambuur Cambuur 3-1 HT 2-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
14.05.2019 Almere City Almere City 1-2 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
10.05.2019 Cambuur Cambuur 2-2 HT 1-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2

Almere City 1-1 Cambuur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
1-1
AWAY Cambuur
0.80 xG 1.97
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
215 Passes 447
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 41
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Almere City vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almere City and Cambuur shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cambuur at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Almere City had 36% of the ball to Cambuur's 64%, shots finished 10-22, expected goals 0.80 to 1.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Almere City and 2.83 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of Almere City vs Cambuur?

Almere City 1-1 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almere City vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Almere City 36%, draw 21%, Cambuur 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambuur), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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