ADO Den Haag 3-0 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.34
2-3 Goals
38%
2.11
4-5 Goals
25%
2.4
6+ Goals
15%
4.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.64
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
16.95
X/1
24%
4.21
X/2
5%
14.55
X/X
7%
8.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
17.95
2/2
6%
10.45
2/X
5%
19.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.95 — our 14% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-2.9pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.73/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.65
-14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
24.1 Crosses 13.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Dordrecht
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.80 xG 0.90
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
314 Passes 276
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
17.08.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
11.03.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 1-2 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
24.11.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-2 HT 2-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
12.05.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 1-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
06.01.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
3-0
AWAY Dordrecht
2.07 xG 1.06
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
13 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
433 Passes 256
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag swept aside Dordrecht 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 60% of the ball to Dordrecht's 40%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.07 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.33 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Dordrecht?

ADO Den Haag 3-0 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 64%, draw 21%, Dordrecht 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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