Cittadella 2-2 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.91
6+ Goals
8%
18.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.50/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.03
+4% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.03.2026 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-0 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTC
15.11.2025 Cittadella Cittadella 1-0 HT 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
2-2
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella and Arzignano Valchiampo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cittadella at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cittadella had 48% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 52%, shots finished 18-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cittadella and 0.50 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Cittadella 2-2 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 42%, draw 27%, Arzignano Valchiampo 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cittadella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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