Crotone 1-1 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
26%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 30%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -22%
1.41/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.80
-2% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2026 Crotone Crotone 3-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
21.11.2025 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
16.03.2025 Crotone Crotone 2-1 HT 1-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
03.11.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-1 HT 1-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
27.01.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 4-2 HT 0-2 Crotone Crotone İTC
21.09.2023 Crotone Crotone 1-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
1-1
AWAY Audace Cerignola
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone and Audace Cerignola couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Crotone at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Crotone had 54% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 46%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crotone and 1.67 for Audace Cerignola.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Audace Cerignola?

Crotone 1-1 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Crotone 50%, draw 24%, Audace Cerignola 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crotone), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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