Casertana 1-0 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
14.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.3pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
1.74/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.30
+30% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Atalanta II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2026 Atalanta II Atalanta II 0-2 HT 0-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
03.12.2025 Casertana Casertana 1-0 HT 1-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
1-0
AWAY Atalanta II
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana edged past Atalanta II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Casertana as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Casertana had 42% of the ball to Atalanta II's 58%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Casertana had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Casertana and 0.00 for Atalanta II.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Atalanta II?

Casertana 1-0 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Casertana 45%, draw 27%, Atalanta II 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casertana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Casertana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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