Trento AC 1-2 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
23.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trento AC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
1.38/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.95
+2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trento AC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.01.2026 Trento AC Trento AC 3-1 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
23.08.2025 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-2 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
05.04.2025 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-0 HT 1-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
23.11.2024 Trento AC Trento AC 2-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
06.04.2024 Trento AC Trento AC 0-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
03.12.2023 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 1-1 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trento AC
1-2
AWAY GIANA Erminio
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trento AC vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio squeezed past Trento AC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Trento AC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Trento AC had 70% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 30%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trento AC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Trento AC and 0.83 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of Trento AC vs GIANA Erminio?

Trento AC 1-2 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trento AC vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Trento AC 50%, draw 26%, GIANA Erminio 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trento AC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trento AC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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